Monday, October 19, 2009

ALCS Game 3: Going Back To Cali

Yesterday the Yankees traded the chilly confines of New York City for the cloudless skies and comfortable temperatures of southern California. Instead of ponchos and parkas, fans in the stands today will be rocking shorts and sunglasses.

Given that players wearing thermal facemasks were at the center of Angels' two biggest errors of the series (and Robinson Cano had two errors of his own), it's probably safe to say that the frigid weather - by baseball standards - contributed mightily to the sloppy play in New York.

As Mike Scioscia said after Game 2, "Anybody can play baseball when it's 70 degrees and beautiful out", which is what the conditions are going to be when the game starts up around 1:00 Pacific Time. While the sunlight, warmth and early start might take away some of the edge of a typical playoff game, we can hope that this one will be won't be wrought with nearly as many miscues. The Yankees are probably thrilled with where the series is at right now, but the Angels are probably the happiest to be stationed in SoCal.

Jered Weaver gets the ball for the Angels this afternoon. Weaver is coming off his best season as a Major Leaguer, having thrown 211 innings to a 3.75 ERA with a 2.64 K/BB and 16-8 record -which compares favorably to the best season his brother has ever had. He's been even better down the stretch, posting a 2.47 ERA over his last 8 starts, including a masterful performance against the Red Sox in which he gave 4 baserunners and one run over 7.1 IP.

Weaver has walked 14 in his last 51 innings which isn't bad at all, but has still had problems controlling his pitch count, averaging about 6 1/3 and 110 pitches per start. If the Yankees are patient and work the count as effectively as they did against John Lackey, they should be able to reach the Angels' bullpen before the seventh inning is over. The Yanks have been fairly successful in doing that against Weaver this year, extracting 12 runs in 19.1 IP over three starts.

With Jorge Posada behind the plate Weaver will have to contend with a full-strength Yankees offense including, most notably, A-Rod who has a notorious affinity for hitting in Anaheim. He's compiled an offensive line of .335/.401/.716 with 37 HRs during 89 regular season games at the Big A, which is the most HRs of any park he hasn't called home. It almost unfair to expect him to continue with the heroics that have thus far defined this postseason, but given his track record there, would you be all that surprised?

The Yanks send Andy Pettitte to the hill to make his 37th postseason start. His teams are 22-14 in those games and Pettitte has 15 wins and a 3.89 ERA. A win today would give him sole possession of the most in postseason play as he is currently tied with John Smoltz. Andy might not be one of the greatest playoff pitchers of all-time in terms of dominant performance, but he's certainly one of the most prolific with a regular season's worth of wins and innings pitched (224 1/3) in October.

Pettitte has not fared well against the Angels this year. In three starts (two of them against Weaver) he's given up 21 hits, 8 walks and 14 runs in 16 innings (7.88 ERA). If it makes you feel any better, the most recent one of those was the best of the bunch (6 IP, 3 ER).

That start came on long rest (like the one today) after Pettitte was skipped in the rotation because of shoulder fatigue and was the first of a three game set. It was the last time they were in Anaheim and the Yankees lost that game but took the next two to win the series. Two out of these next three would earn the Yanks a trip to the World Series.



Think I'm gon' stop, givin' L.A. props?
All I got is beef with those that violate me,
I shall annihilate thee...

I'm going (going),
Back (back),
To Cali (Cali).

17 comments:

  1. Would have been nice to get another run in there?

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  2. Would have been nice. As Denny Green would say "we let them off the hook!!"

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  3. Absolutely. Not the first time this season the Yanks or their opponents have failed to get an easy run across

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  4. Weaver looks like he's settling in. That was a quick inning.

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  5. It would look like Pettitte was too, if half of his throws weren't going to first.

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  6. 4 for Arod. Is this really happening?

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  7. Yes. Yes it is and it's fucking great.

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  8. It really is fucking fantastic

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  9. A-Rod is having one of this typical hot streaks, it's just happening the post-season for once!

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  10. Bottom of the order is coming up small. Swish had two chances to get a guy in from third w/less that two outs. One of the downsides of having a "three true outcomes" guy up in that spot - very few productive outs.

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  11. At least all those throws for first weren't for nothing. Nice one Andy!

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  12. The Angels do all the little things right; they never beat themselves...

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  13. A JOHNNY ROCKET!

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  14. And almost another one from A-Rod... Thanks for coming out Jeff, er, Jered Weaver!

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  15. For sure, too bad they have yet to deliver the knock out blow.

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  16. First homer against Yankee pitching this postseason. It was going to happen at some point...

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  17. And there's number two. The rumors of Vlad Guerrero's death were greatly exaggerated.

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